Monday, June 30, 2008

Dow wants 11,000 before the bounce? Short GOOG!

GOOG closed @ 526.4

The rally today didn't hold much water and the indicies ended weakly. The Nasdaq closed at the low of the day. I suspect it'll take a wideload beating tomorrow. GOOG started out strong but closed weak. You know why? Because it wants to fill this gap, which should take the stock down to $460-480. I'm now pretty confident that the gap will get filled. It'll be an absolutely certainty if 520 breaks down again.

Want more technical analysis to convince ya? GOOG is only recently rolling over and is overbought in the intermediate term, in the weekly chart. The Point&Figure chart indicates a downtrending stock on its way to closing the gap at 480. Look at it and tell me that the bears don't like this chart.

Whoever that upgraded the stock recently, I think has the ulterior motive of setting up the small guys to hold the bag (at least in the foreseeable short/intermediate term).

Short it! Someone mentioned that LEH closed at another new low. Yeah, i think something there is about to blow wide open.


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Sunday, June 29, 2008

A short-term bottom is at hand...


With the market having fallen so fast and steep, a bounce is in the cards and it could as soon as this coming week. How far, how fast, and how long the bounce lasts is beyond me. With the Dow Jones Industrial Average having broken the January lows, anything can happen as the bears do have the upper hand. It has been noted that this is the worst June for the stock market since 1930. I think it is probable we get a rally at least the first half of July. Is this the bottom? Truthfully, i don't have an opinion at this point in time, especially with the endless selling of the Financials, the stability of which is very important for a sustained bull market. But i am hopeful that the two historical trends will exert themselves later this year - namely, the Presidential Election and the Fed economic stimulus.

The RBS scare, the relentless rise of oil, and the potential insolvency of important banks can and will derail all hopes of a year-end rally. These are very confusing times.

You have to be on your toes the next several months. Fading the gaps and short term trading still works. You must not goose your stocks with margin at times like these, or you're playing with atomic fire. I can't stress how important it is to manage your porfolio defensively and get rid of speculative stocks. Have some cash on the side so you can buy when all hell breaks loose and blood is everywhere on the street.

With that said, I think the longer term trend is still gonna be alternative energy - a coming massive bull market so big it will never happen again in our lifetime after it.

Good luck... and I hope everyone here survives this uncertain period so you can reap the benefits of what is almost surely to come.

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Friday, June 27, 2008

Does GM deserve to live?

“What is good for General Motors is good for America”

Back in 1955, Charlie Wilson, then chairman of General Motors Corp. made this somewhat pompous statement. Here we are, some 53 years later and look what is happening to the stock of General Motors (NYSE_GM). This stock is at a 53 year low and shows no signs of turning around.

So the question becomes, what happened to America and General Motors? How did this company lose its edge in the marketplace?

HOW DID GM GET IT SO WRONG?

Digging through the history of GM, I found one fascinating item. GM developed an electric car back in 1996 when gas was $1.28 a gallon! They named the battery powered car the EV1 and then basically scrapped it in 2002.

Today there is very little evidence that this car was ever in existence. I am sure you’re thinking right about how we could sure use a car like that today with gas prices trading over $4.00 a gallon.

When you look at the stock of General Motors, you’ll see that the high for the stock in the last eight years was around $68 in 2002. What’s interesting is that high point in the stock was right around the time GM scrapped its EV1 car.

So what happened to GM’s first electric car? GM claims there was not enough public demand. That could be, but I think the story is a lot more complicated than that.


You can see all the GM - Big Oil conspiracy theories in the movie
“Who Killed the Electric Car.”



WHY KILL THE GOLDEN GOOSE?

From a business standpoint, why would GM want to improve something that would kill the goose that lays the golden egg? General Motors tends to make most of its money on sales of replacement parts. Up to 40% of its profits come from selling replacement parts for existing GM automobiles, so why would they sabotage their own cash flow?

Unlike a gasoline driven car, which has many moving parts, an electrical car like the GM’s EV1 has very few parts to go wrong, so therefore part sales and cash flow would go right into the tank for GM. The other perception problem GM has with an all electric car with zero emissions is this: if GM produces an all electric clean car with zero emissions, it’s making an admission that all of their other cars are dirty, spew out harmful emissions and pollute the planet.

But look at how GM got it wrong. This may be one of the biggest blunders ever in American corporate history. GM took the lead in electric car technology (smart move), but was not convinced that they as a company could be profitable selling electric cars.

WHO OWNS THE MOST ADVANCE BATTERY TECHNOLOGY?

One fascinating piece of information is that GM acquired advanced battery technology from Ovonic’s in the form of a NiMH battery. This battery produces a stronger, longer lasting charge, and was the ideal battery for their second generation of EV1 cars. What came out later was truly a shocker, GM sold this amazing battery technology along with the patent (dumb move) to Texaco who was later taken over by Chevron. Now Chevron owns the technology and the patent!

You have to ask yourself the question… why would an oil company be interested in purchasing advanced battery technology from a major car producer like GM?

I’ll let you draw your own conclusions.

Fast forward to 2008 when everyone is mad as H#LL for having to pay over $4.00 for a gallon of gas. Back in 1996 when GM launched the EV1 with very little fanfare, the cost of gas was around $1.28 a gallon.

Why GM decided to scrap the EV1 and look for short-term profits in big cars as opposed to building and preparing to adopt a different business model is still a mystery and one that has decimated GM’s stock price in the last five years.

The automobile business has not changed in almost a century and the industry appears reluctant to embrace change. It would now appear that GM’s business model like many of its big cars is rapidly becoming outdated and destined for dinosaur land.

Adam Hewison, president of Ino.com



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Thursday, June 26, 2008

Defensive Plays. Capital Preservation. Protection.


Sorry for such a brutal graphical representation on the right, but on Thursday the bears killed everything in sight.

For the absolute best defensive strategy, go with the Beanieville approach. Learn more about the most powerful stock market system, The Beanieville System:
here and, more comprehensively, here (with several major posts you can go through).


The NASD, SPX, NASD and the etf DIA are in a bearish trend, as indicated by the Point&Figure charts. The SPY and QQQQ etfs are still bullish but they are rolling over and are on their way down.

We are very oversold in the short term, and a short bounce is due. Above all, i'd like to see the DJIA get back above the January low, which is about 180 points above where we closed today. I'm not too hopeful about this anytime soon, unless there's some type of intervention from the Fed or the government to change the mood in a dramatic way.

I don't expect a stock market crash (a la 1987) in the month of July, so there will be a huge snapback bounce coming sometime next month. The selloff is nearly vertical to the point that a snapback is inevitable. We could rally tomorrow and then trade sideways, and then within 1-3 weeks probably gonna see a new low on the Dow - about 400-1000 points down from where we closed on Thursday - before a huge snapback rally into August and then a decline into October (possibly ending in a CRASH). Something like that. I think that is the WORST CASE scenerio for the market.

You portfolio needs you to manage and protect it, more so now than it has been for quite a while.

If all of this is too hard for you to take, you probably want to stay in cash and just wait for things to get better. No matter how bullish i've been the whole year, i still do look at the charts and will change my mind when the charts give warning signs. And they're giving warning signs right now. I'll be playing defensive until the charts show me otherwise. I've already sold some long term positions this week. I still plan to get back in eventually. Just parking in cash for the time being. At this point in time, i think it's prudent to be at least 50% in cash. If not, you need to be somehow "hedged". A simple hedge, obviously, is just to sell some stocks. Another hedge is to short some stocks to go with your longs. An aggressive strategy is to sell some stocks you were holding for the long term, and turn it around by shorting those stocks. So you got many ways to play defensively. However, if you own speculative stocks - small or unprofitable companies - you probably should sell them. If the stocks that i've been trying to get you to own (most of which are profitable and over 1 billion market cap and in good sectors) can't hold in this market, your speculative stocks are gonna get annihilated.

If the DJIA is meant to hit 10000 (or below), it is NOT likely the solars will stay strong even if stubborn oil keeps on rocketing. If the market participants perceive that we're headed for a long term recession, they are gonna reason that if companies aren't making money or staying in business, then they're not gonna be able to afford solar panels. Solars will roll over like everything else.

Technology is already rolling over and looks to head lower. AAPL, which closed at 168, is likely headed to 150. SOHU has more downside as well, so do many techs.

I have an advantage to some of you because i trade the market full-time and therefore can watch the tape all day. Many of you cannot. The one sector i still like for the longer term is solar. No matter what happens the next several months, i believe that ENER, FSLR, SPWR, STP and some others, will do well longer term.



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Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Thursday: BULLS vs. BEARS

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Wednesday is V.I.D.


Very Important Day.

Fed talk and the MON & RIMM earnings make tomorrow a pretty important day. Agriculture and tech stocks (and energy) have been the leaders for some time now. Nobody represents agri and tech better than MON and RIMM, respectively. How the market reacts to their earnings tomorrow will set the tone for the general direction of these sectors and the entire market. It is not expected that the Fed will raise or lower rates tomorrow, but what he says will be very important as we're at an important juncture in the stock market.

The indicis are mostly showing candlestick spinning tops and dojis, which means indecision and a possible reversal of the current short term trend, to the upside. However, my sense is that if we don't rally hard or at least close in the green, we gonna take out the March lows - R.I.P.

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Sunday, June 22, 2008

Everyone and their mother now shorting SOHU!

SOHU closed @ 71.9

The stock got slammed on Friday when management said that they expect ads growth slowdown in 2009. That's from 45% growth (due to the 2008 Olympics) to 25% (after the Olympics), a fifty percent haircut. This stock is going 6 feet under.

SOHU took out the 50dayMA at 74.6, and broke the head n' shoulders neckline at the same time. The intermediate term (1-3 months) indicates the stock is very overbought and the indicators are turning to the downside.

SOHU is the PERFECT SHORT. You can't really ask for a better short than this.

Short short short! $55 is first target. I think SOHU is gonna go down fast - Warp 9. You can use SOHU as a hedge to your long term positions.

I haven't checked, but i think the Trade Triangle should be saying the same thing, to get out of SOHU or short it. The free trial is still on and they don't ask for your credit card.


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Follow-Up to 'Can You See The Blood Dripping?'


Ok, I checked the Point&Figure charts of the etfs DIA, SPY, IWM and the QQQQ and they look fine and dandy. These 4, i tend to have on my screen and i sometimes trade them. Now, looking at the major indicis themselves:

SPX
DJIA
NASD

Both the SPX and DJIA is showing a bearish trend. The NASD is right at support and likely will break down because it is intermediate term overbought and looks like it's turning down right now. I'm not gonna wait for the ETFs to turn to my liking before taking action.

At this point, i'm gonna put up an orange to red alert to watch the tape very very carefully this coming week. In particular, we have to pay attention to the strongest sectors, namely tech/agri/solars right now to see if they're gonna roll over. On Wednesday, we have earnings from RIMM (the lone tech ranger) and MON. If the market reacts negatively to those, we gotta BRING OUT THE PARACHUTES.

As of Friday, we are very short term oversold, there should be a bounce come Monday, barring a major financial catastrophy from the likes of Citibank. Also, on Wednesday, Bernanke will be speaking.

As for me, i'll be looking at a break of the first 30 minutes low on Monday to trim some long term positions. If your stocks close in the red on Monday (on top of last Friday's carnage), i'm pretty sure it will generate candlestick sell signals and your stocks will likely continue to go down in the following sessions. I think, however, we're gonna rally on Monday because the market is very short term oversold to near support levels and the Saudis just indicated they will increase oil output to try to snuff out the oil rally.

Before doing anything drastic, i'd still like to get through Wednesday (barring a financial meltdown before then) to see what the Fed, RIMM and MON have to say.

I'd say below DOW 11,600 is IMMINENT DOOM.........


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Saturday, June 21, 2008

Short the Olympics in China?


"Thousands of pet cats in Beijing are being abandoned by their owners and sent to die in secretive government pounds as China mounts an aggressive drive to clean up the capital in preparation for the Olympic Games."

The dogs were killed similarly last year, just for the olympics. They cram the cats in these tiny cages and just let them die in it. How they get the cats in the cages is a question i must ask. They probably beat the sh%t out of the cats before packing them in. The dogs were treated the same way last year, but because of international outrage, it was stopped. Now, they're going after the cats. Most are housecats. The chinese government wanted to beautify the city before the olympics. I wonder how they get rid of the street bums?

click here to continue Nuke-ing the Cats (and what else?)

Can You See The Blood Dripping?


There is already fear and some blood on the streets as the markets closed with the Dow falling towards the March lows. When we skydive like this towards the lows or new lows, i always go check the Point&Figure charts.

DIA
SPY
QQQQ
IWM

As a trader i don't want to be too swayed by other people's opinions and fear/elation. Usually the charts do warn you if a catastrophic meltdown is imminent. As i look at the 4 point&figure charts above, i see we're still trending higher with bullish price objectives. Of course, that can change and when it does, we will see it.

There are lots of negativity out there right now. Doug Kass, who changed his mind once again, is seeing doom and gloom the next few months. There's the RBS call for a global meltdown and crash by October. My former mentor Waxie is seeing major doom and gloom coming from this point on, with the Nasdaq being eventually cut in 1/2! Bill Cara, of course, i don't have to mention that one. You can almost smell the fear.

I don't share that view, YET. But i will definitely be watching the tape closely. The bears have called for the end of the world the last two times and each time we rallied. Maybe the third time is a charm? No doubt, next week is a very important week. Perhaps we bounce and bounce for a few days to few weeks, and then the market gets cut like hot knife on butter. Or maybe we totally flushed down the drain next week. You won't know unless you watch the tape.

If the bears win, we gotta take defensive measures. Techs and our solar leaders are still holding up rather well. But the Nasdaq appears to be reversing to the downside. The solars will continue to impress with their earnings. But tech, we have to see what happens to RIMM when it reports on the 25th.

As a trader/investor, i still want to follow the trend because the trend is our friend, until the trend is obviously changing. The 4 indicis listed above is still in a positive trend. We also have the Fed's monetary policy that were made to help boost the economy by way of aggressive rate cuts. We have the Presidential Election positive trend (which, by the way, doesn't always work, and with 90% of the population having now downgraded Mr. Bush, ya never know.....maybe a crash seen as a fitting end to his legacy?).

Let's plan what we're gonna do when the world does fall apart. Let's watch the tape.

(Follow-up Note and correction: The DJIA point&figure shows a bearish trend. It is very important that the index holds above 11,600, or it will probably drag everybody else down. The SPX is also bearish. I guess i was being too hasty with the post... i forgot to look at the major indicis DJIA & SPX. I will do a follow up post later tonite.)


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Friday, June 20, 2008

Linda Raschke is One Smart Gal


Dear Beanieville readers...

I have not had the pleasure of meeting as many professional traders as Adam Hewison from Ino has. The good thing is that with the free version of INO TV, you can meet four of the world's top traders and have a front row seat to their seminars for free.

As a regular user of our INO TV service, I am a huge fan of professional trader, Linda Raschke. Honestly, I don't know why I put her in a class of her own among the other many amazing seminar authors.

It could be that she has had continued success in the trading arena for over two decades. It it could be that I am drawn to her superior presentation skills. It could also be that she is a great role model for young women pursuing a career in finance and/or business.

Ok, ok... I wont play the gender card. I am completely aware that over 91% of you individual traders are men. However, no matter what gender you may be you can recognize Linda's trading intellect and appreciate the tips and strategies in her seminar that we present in the complimentary version of INO TV.

"Classic Indicators - Back to the Future"

Besides lecturing to thousands of individual traders in over 18 countries, Linda is a principal trader for several hedge funds and is president of LBR Group, Inc. She was profiled in Jack Schwager's book, "The New Market Wizards," and frequently is featured trader in numerous financial publications and on national radio/television
programs. Currently she is the vice president of the American Association of Professional Technical Analysts.

Self-directed traders have spent big bucks to learn from Linda, but we are offering one of her lectures for absolutely no cost.

She is one of my INO TV personal favorite trading experts and I hope you will become fond of her as well.

Watch her seminar, "Classic Indicators - Back to the Future" today at no cost on INO TV.

click here

Enjoy Linda's Seminar,
Brad S, Ino.com


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Thursday, June 19, 2008

Is ENER the next Microsoft?


ENER closed @ 77.98

ENER is now one of the top two strongest tech stock (the other being RIMM), and the strongest solar stock at this moment in time. Looking at the options for June, i see lots of contracts on the June 80 calls; so likely the stock will see $80 tomorrow.

ENER has really has come a long way. Forty years of research finally gets turned into a business reality, with the help of a new management. ENER has over 1000 technological patents, many of which applies to very advanced technologies well ahead of its time. Their core competency is diverse - ranging from hydrogen fuel cells, nickel metal hydride batteries, photovoltaics, and phase-change memory. Currently, they are focusing most of their efforts on monetizing their photovoltaics division, as they should be, because that's the industry that is booming right now. The world may not yet be ready for the other 3 competencies just yet. This is how i see the order of when their technologies will be commercialized:

1) Photovoltaics (now!)
2) Nimh batteries (in a few years)
3) Phase-change memory (in a few years)
4) Hydrogen fuel cells (probably 10-15 years later)

Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) was founded by Stan Ovshinsky, a self-taught genius, some 40 years ago. "Stanford R. Ovshinsky invented and pioneered the fundamentally new science of amorphous and disordered materials. But it was with his equal partner and full collaborator Iris that he founded Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ECD Ovonics) in 1960 to use science and technology, based on his discoveries, to solve serious societal problems in the fields of energy and information — the twin pillars of our global economy." There's no doubt that Mr. Ovshinsky is also a visionary - he sees what kinds of problems our world will eventually face and invented the technologies that we will eventually use. Visit ENER's website.

The potential that ENER holds is enormous. Here is an investment opinion by a professor i found on the net several months ago. I can't say it any better so i'm posting an excerpt right here:

"A stock pickers fantasy – picking the next Microsoft.

The dawn of a new millennium presents a wonderful opportunity for prudent investors to reflect on the past, and project into the future of their portfolios. January 2000 investment publications offer savvy advice for fortune hunters seeking the next hot prospects in the seemingly never-ending, ever-charging bull market. The search is on, but not without parameters.

Recently, Wealth Manager magazine, a Bloomberg Communications publication challenged its Natural Investors to "go one step beyond" normal investment search strategies to pick the next Microsoft. It suggested that research focus on small-cap, emerging companies with the potential of not only financial success, but also the ability to produce goods and services which will "make a positive contribution to our world."

Now there´s an idea whose time has come! The fortune hunters of the 21st century must have a conscience, and their stock picks must be both money-wise and earth-friendly. Wealth Manager projects that the next Wall Street winners will be "Green" investors who pick companies which can solve environmental issues by dealing in renewable energy, i.e. clean transportation, fuel cells (hydrogen), and solar power. Who are these future-FORTUNE 500s?

By focusing on the keywords: renewable energy resources, this motivated stock prospector quickly unearthed a mass of data. The United States Department of Energy and The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) currently conduct research in advanced vehicles (hybrid and electric vehicles), hydrogen fuel cells, photovoltaics, and solar manufacturing. Many well-known corporations such as General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler, as well as a number of smaller firms, work closely with NREL, using these state-of-the-art technologies. Among the smaller firms, research reveals one well-veiled game-changing player poised to transform the future of the planet with its patented technologies in renewable energy.

Hidden away on the NASDAQ, behind unimpressive annual reports, unresponsive Wall Street relations, and a dismal trading history, lies a sleeping giant. My choice for Wall Street´s next Microsoft? I give you Energy Conversion Devices Inc. (ECD), a company whose technology seems to completely dominate the future of renewables. ECD offers a stunning array of "game changing" core products such as: hydrogen storage (fuel cells), nickel-metal hydride batteries, and photovoltaics.

As the rest of the world catches up to the concept of renewables, Energy Conversion Devices Inc. seems destined to become a behemoth energy powerhouse. Fortunately for Wall Street´s bargain hunters, the speculators have been too busy buying "hot air" on the information super-highway to notice the real potential of this sizzling prospect. The sound prospects of ECD have never proven to be a tough "cell" for this enthused investor, who for a number of years, has made it number one in his portfolio. ECD´s forty years of research and development, and the ingenuity of almost one thousand patents can be had, at this writing, for the amazingly low stock price of less than $20 a share. However, like its stock price, the products and prospects of this sleeping giant will soon rise to the occasion, answer the call for its patented technologies, and turn speculation into lucrative fiscal reality."


Is ENER the next Microsoft or IBM of the 21st century? Few companies have the enormous potential that ENER has. ENER founder Stan Ovshinsky may one day be recognized as the Thomas Edison of our time.

When you buy ENER, you may be paying for a piece of history in the making and your wealth can change enormously. You are owning 4 Horsemen of Advanced Information and Energy Technology, all packed into one company - A Sleeping Giant indeed!

Disclosure:
I own ENER since $51, even though i recommended it at $27 (you can't say this time i got in before you did!).

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Short term sell, if ENER closes below 75


This stock is now extremely overbought in the intermediate term. If it closes below 75, it will trade sideways to down for awhile.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

You heard of the Obama Girl...now for the McCain Girl!

Is GMCR the next Campbell Soup of Coffee?

GMCR closed @ 43.7

I've been watching this company for awhile now and yesterday it traded at a lifetime high. The stock traded at 3 peaks of $41-43 since last year. This coffee maker boasts a growth rate of nearly 50%. That's hot!

I don't know many coffee makers that specializes in only coffee and trades on an exchange. Who knows, someday it may become another Campbell Soup.

Current revenue stands at about $500 million.

GMCR is a nice long term story.


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Tuesday, June 17, 2008

On some nights, this Corgi Traderdog turns into Werewolf...


I'm not really sure why the same few people are complaining about my picks just about every other day. It kinda boggles my mind. Most of my picks the reason i pick them is because i feel they are gonna do well longer term. For example, I recommended GRMN at 45 and it proceeded to drop to 40 and then went as high as 55 before coming back to 43. I'm getting complaints right now at 43 and you're telling me that i should put down the timelines for my price targets - and that i can't seem to make up my mind whether it is a short or long term play. You seem confused because on one hand i seem to advocate short term profits and on the other i seem to want you to hold longer term. Most of my picks are indeed for the longer term of at least a year. I'm advocating protecting profits is because not everybody can hold and just watch their stocks go down. I certainly can't. That's why i "actively manage" my stocks.

It hasn't even been 1 year yet on my GRMN recommendation and you're complaining already. Why? If you're complaining so soon, then i highly recommend you take and protect profits in the short term. C'mon man, we're all adults here, you can't have it both ways. You cannot be holding for the longer term and yet can't stand the fluctuations in the short term. The decision is ultimately yours. I keep on having to explain the same thing over and over and over again. Is it getting through to some of you folks? If you can't understand the logic of what i'm saying here, it's gonna be really difficult to make money in the stock market for you. In this case, i really really recommend MarketClub. They give you the green triangle to buy (on the daily chart is the best) and then they give you the red triangle to sell. Simple as that. (And if you think i'm making money off of you from my recommendation of MarketClub and you don't like it, then just type in their site into the browser and not click onto the banners on this site. That way, i won't get any reward from you signing up).

Seriously, Marketclub will help some of you folks. Try it. I want you to succeed, and i really believe the resources i recommend will help you. The 2 weeks free trial that they offer once every year has already started yesterday.

OT: There are some stocks that i keep on pumping just about at least once a week, you know i like them very much and believe they are going higher in the short and longer term. You can make money if you pay attention.

Monday, June 16, 2008

ENER to $100


ENER closed @76.8

I don't think we are gonna see below $70 anymore. There was 20% short interest, about 7.6 million shares, reported at the end of May. As of today, i think at most about 50% have covered.

There's still lots of rocketfuel left for ENER to easily blow through $100, and i don't think it'll be too long. ENER is currently my favorite solar play. This company is 40 years old and has a huge number of patents for very advanced technologies, technologies that are years ahead of its time.

I mentioned the stock at $27. Admittedly, i did not buy at that price. At about $51 was where all my purchases were made. Everyone here had many chances to get in with me at that price. I think it goes much higher.

Enjoy the ride.

I'm not saying to buy first thing in the morning. You really have to watch the market. It is obviously short term overbought and may or may not pull back.

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FREE Trial Starts Today!


It starts today and ends in 2 weeks. They claim to offer this only once a year. No credit card required. I really suggest you take a look. (No, i'm not talking about a 2 weeks free trial at Hugh Hefner's mansion!)

Once you log on, put in the symbol ENER and then click onto the blue graphical icon. Then click onto the red/green triangles, then choose your timeframe. Start with the short term timeframe - "daily". It could have gotten you in ENER at $66.76 on June 12, 2008. The MarketClub Scan is really good for swingtraders.

Just something to consider, if you're still losing money even with my recommended picks (or BECAUSE of my recommended picks..lol). The program really keeps you from being clueless.

In some ways, i'm kinda torned between recommending their software and keeping ya at my blog. The Trade Triangle really is the lazy man's way to trade. If you're making money already, just forget the trial. You probably want to learn how to fish on your own than to have everything charted out for you. If you're still losing money, it's worth a look.

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Light up the sky with STP!

STP closed @ 41.1

The stock should see $44 in the short term. You want to see it in the green (or a gap down), before buying. STP is still a very cheap stock when you look at how fast the company is actually growing.

This stock is eventually gonna see $100. Not a matter of if, but a matter of when. The solar mega bull market is for real and it's gonna keep on rolling, with or without you.

The trade for all the timeframes is all good.

Note that i still believe that we are gonna have a huge market rally towards year end. I'm not goinna fight the fed here, and i'm not gonna fight the historical Presidential Election trend. You can, if you like. Best of luck.

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Saturday, June 14, 2008

"Bernanke, Every Breath You Take"

Friday, June 13, 2008

Absolutely FREE 2-weeks trial at MarketClub (& a video to watch below)

I am very pleased to announce that I have arranged for all Partner members to have a 2 week complimentary trial to INO's premium MarketClub service. This is an exceptional offer that only comes around once a year!

Free 2-week MarketClub trial

Over the past 6 years, MarketClub has provided thousands of members with unique tools that have put them into triumphant trades, and gotten them out of losing ones. Stock, Futures, and Forex traders, from beginners to experts, get the edge they need to succeed from MarketClub.

Today you have the chance to join this unique and powerful service for 2 full weeks without spending a dime. They want you to have an inside look into the power of MarketClub for a full 2 weeks!

No payment info is needed for the trial, just your commitment to give MarketClub your focus and attention for the FULL 2 Weeks. If you enlist today, you will have the maximum time allotted to use and learn MarketClub. There are special bonuses at the end of the trial which are yours to keep regardless of whether or not you decide to become a full member.

Adam Hewison and his team at MarketClub want to provide you with the best service
possible and world class support. Phone, email, and live chat support are INCLUDED in the 2 week trial, so please take advantage of it today. I can't imagine why every PARTNER member would not accept this generous offer.

Free 2-week MarketClub trial

Enjoy the trial,
Ino


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These 3 markets will change everything!

Every once in a while there comes a time in the market when you get to see some amazing trading opportunities.

I believe this could be one of those times.

Watch the video

In this special private video I analyze in detail the upcoming major moves in three major markets. This just maybe the most important video I have ever made on these
three markets and I want you to see it.

Watch the video now

Adam Hewison

President, INO.com

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Buy ENER on the gap down for a day/swingtrade


ENER closed @ 66.3

The stock is now at 63.3 afterhours due to news about the company offering 4.7 million shares and $225 million in notes for expansion purposes. They expect now to reach 1GW capacity in 2012, whereas before they expected 300MW capacity in 2010.

While the stock is down on initial reaction, i see this stock offering as very positive for the company longer term. Look at it this way: the company is TRIPLING capacity from 2010 to 2012! Hopefully, they'll do even better than this when the time comes.

With nearly $600 million new money at their disposable, ENER can really kick arse from this point on.

Buy tomorrow's dip for a daytrade or swingtrade, or, if you don't already own ENER, i think it's a good time to grab some for the long term.

buy this stock

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Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Short AAPL & POT for a day/swing trade


AAPL closed @ 185.6
POT closed @ 220.5

We're back to strong hesitation levels about owning stocks as oil continues to rise. The last 2 days' correction in oil wasn't much reassuring as traders still think it'll go higher.

So for the time being, let's short AAPL if it rises big in the morning or when it gets into the red. POT also looks like a good short here as well. Start with a daytrade and, if it works out well, then you can turn it into a swingtrade.

The way the market closed on Tuesday, it will likely go higher in the next session based on the candlesticks. If it doesn't, look out below!

buy this stock

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Sunday, June 8, 2008

STP is a buy!

STP closed @ 40.2

Every time we buy this stock at the very low 40's we make some quick money, as there are lots of support in the high 30's and low 40's. It should be no different this time around, even though the world seemed to be falling apart last week.

I own STP, FSLR, ENER and SPWR - my four solar horsemen - and these are the only solars i have at this point in time (and will probably stay that way for the forseeable future). I believe at least 1 will become a very huge company in 5 years. When you buy stocks for the longer term, make sure you're buying into what companies you think will become behemoths (or bigger behemoths). Otherwise, it would only be for a short term trade, and keeping them longer term will only bring about sleepless nights when the market takes a nosedive.


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Saturday, June 7, 2008

Hopefully Nobody Felt THIS Way After Friday's Carnage

Fear Factor: Off The Charts






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Legendary trader/investor Bernard Baruch


Having read hundreds of books on investing and trading throughout the years, i can honestly say that Bernard Baruch is one of my favorite reads. Here is a good summary of the teachings of the legendary investor/trader Bernard Baruch, as summarized by Kirk. There are lots of useful gems here that withstood the test of time:


* Baruch started out as most traders do - i.e. losing lots of money because he lacked the knowledge, experience, & discipline. "You have to lose money in order to better yourself."

* Real success in the market takes time and money. Unfortunately "most people view the market as the place where the miracle of great and quick riches can be performed with little effort."

* Overtrading and holding too many positions in his early years caused Baruch to go broke many times before he developed the discipline to succeed.

* A successful speculation is "a man who observes the future and acts before it occurs." Acting swiftly in the market is important.

* After losing money from the recommendation of others, Baruch focused himself on the facts. "One must search through a maze of complex and contradictory details to get to the significant facts.....Then he must be able to operate coldly, clearly, and skillfully on the basis of those facts." The challenge for the successful speculator is "how to disentangle the cold hard facts from the rather warm feelings of the people dealing with the facts." Moreover, "if you get all the facts, your judgment can be right; if you don't get all the facts, it can't be right."

* Be honest with yourself and expect to be wrong as many times as you are right. "If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong." Cutting losses quickly was THE most important trading rule.

* Don't underestimate the power of thinking. "During my eighty-seven years I have witnessed a whole succession of technological revolutions. But none of them has done away with the need for character in the individual or the ability to think."

* If your stocks are keeping you awake a night worrying about them, you should sell them to a "sleeping point."

* The way to truly succeed in the market is to devote oneself full time to the task. "Because of the extreme challenge, one must commit full attention to it." Market speculation is "no different than trying to be a successful doctor or lawyer....you simply must devote yourself full time to the study of your craft."

* Through experience, Baruch learned the golden rule - never take stock tips from others. Self-reliance and "doing one's own thinking" is a must.

* Baruch found it best to keep silent about his positions and trades and he believed it was "best to trade alone." When he retired from A.A. Housman & Company and go out on his own, Baruch did so because he thought it was best to trade independently and remain focused in order to achieve the greatest profits. "Most of the successful people I've known are the ones who do more listening than talking."

* According to Baruch, the stock market does not determine the health of the economy but "rather reflects it." The ability to understand this is an important skill.

* Baruch would often trade both sides of the market - long & short. "Having flexibility should not be underestimated."

* On risk, "there is no investment which does not involve some risk and is not something of a gamble." Moreover, "what we can try to do perhaps is to come to a better understanding of how to reduce the element of risk in whatever we undertake."

* Baruch did not believe in diversification, but that it was "better to have a few stocks and to watch them carefully."

* Having a "good supply of cash on hand at all times in reserve is important" to take advantage of market declines and major crashes.

* He believed that traders should focus on one thing at a time. He thought no one could be an expert at too many things. He liked to focus on "one thing at a time, perfect it, and do it well."

* Baruch believed the two main mistakes that contributed to his early losses were the same mistakes most investors make which are: 1) "they know too little about the company's management, earnings, prospects, and possibility for future growth," and 2) "they tend to trade beyond their financial capital capacity."

* Baruch was a fundamentalist versus technical focused investor. In essence he required strong real assets of the company (cash and properties), that the company produced or performed something that is needed and valued, and that it had good management.

* "Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two.....The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities."

* What drives stock prices are human reactions. Ironically, the key to successful speculation is to remove our decisions from our emotions. "Without control over your emotions, there is very little chance for profitable success in the stock market."

* Baruch often described the market as a thermometer and the economic environment as the fever. "The market does not cause economic cycles but merely reflects them and the judgments of what traders believe business and the future will be like."

* He believed no one could sell at the top and buy at the bottom (both for stocks and the market itself). "Don't try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can't be done except by liars." That said, Baruch said that through all of his time and research, he would develop a "feel" for when it was time to reduce positions. "I made my money by selling too soon." While he didn't have sell rules per se, he developed more of a sense that one gets when they trade for many years and follow the market with intense study.

* "It is much harder to sell stocks correctly than to buy them correctly." Because of the emotional aspect of trading, if a "stock went up, the average investor would hold because he wants more gains - he's exhibiting greed. If the stock declines, he also holds on and hopes the stock will come back so he can at least sell and break even - he's hoping against hope." Baruch worked hard to avoid these emotions by recognizing mistakes early and taking immediate action to own up to his mistakes quickly.

* Baruch believed that you had to take responsibility for your decisions. "Do not blame anybody for your mistakes and failures." In addition, he blamed most of his losses on the failure of judgment and taking time to think. "Whatever failures I have known, whatever errors I have committed, whatever follies I have witnessed in private and public life have been the consequence of action without thought."

* It is important to "follow what the market is currently doing as opposed to following what one might personally think the market should do." As he said, "Every man has a right to his opinion, but no man has a right to be wrong in his facts."

* Knowing your biases and weakness are important. "Only as you do know yourself can your brain serve you as a sharp and efficient tool. Know your own failings, passions, and prejudices so you can separate them from what you see."

* Baruch was highly regarded and well-respected, but he frequently practiced humility and understood the challenges of the market. He is often quoted with the saying "The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible."

* Taking time away from the market is necessary. He took many vacations and used the downtime to "reflect on one's past transactions." For Baruch, this time away was important so he could have the peace of mind and concentration to reflect and improve his abilities. He devoted lots of hours and effort to examining past trades to find out why he lost money.

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Read about a modern Wallstreet Warrior.

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How to turn a $99 investment into a lifetime of trading success

Dear Trader,

Learning by experience can be costly, especially in the financial markets. Fortunately, there are shortcuts. "I've changed from losing money to consistently making a profit," says Paul, a trader from Illinois. "I've learned techniques that really have made a big difference in my trading." He credits INO TV's streaming educational videos and audios for his success. INO TV is a division of INO.com, a pioneer in the web-based delivery of financial information since 1995.

Traders of all levels will appreciate INO TV's online digital library of video and audio seminars, the largest and most comprehensive collection of trader and investor seminars available anywhere today. INO TV's seminars-currently numbered at 547 with more being added all the time - present time-tested theories, techniques, and strategies from over 150 master traders. INO TV gives traders an easy and convenient way to improve their skills, confidence, and returns.

Traders say online seminars are more convenient, less costly
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Compared to the high price tag of live seminars, INO TV's annual membership fee of 99.95 (or 49.95 for three months) is a bargain. While many traders find the live atmosphere of seminars enjoyable, others find that the registration fees, travel expenses, and other charges are cost prohibitive. Dean, a trader in the UK, is one of the latter. The live seminar he attended, which cost him 7,500, failed to meet his expectations. "I should have avoided going to the actual seminar," he says. "What I learned through the online videos was more than what they were giving me at the seminars." Dean says that the knowledge he acquired in a single month of viewing INO TV online would have cost him about 24,000 in seminar fees.

It's not just the cost that makes INO TV so attractive to traders. It's also the convenience. Dirk, a financial writer and seminar instructor in the Netherlands who'sbeen an active trader for over a decade, elaborates. "I was invited by my broker to attend a seminar on futures. For me, coming from a small village near Amsterdam, that would be a time consuming and high-priced event," he explains. "It is far more convenient to watch a video online. Watching them at any convenient time and seeing them again and again brings a trader far more value while being very time efficient."

Anyone with a computer and a high-speed internet connection can take advantage of INO TV's digital seminar collection. The on-demand streaming seminars feature some of the world's top experts, whose ranks include trading systems pioneers, trading contest champions, authors, trading coaches, and real floor traders. Many of the seminars come with detailed downloadable workbooks. INO TV's digital library of trading seminars is the most extensive collection available online, and these seminars are not available anywhere else. Members can watch and listen to as many seminars as they want, as often as they want, for one low membership fee. A 3-month membership is just 49.95, and an annual membership just 99.95. To learn more simply visit the education page.

A special note:
----------------------------
Even though I caught some lucky breaks early in my financial career and went on to become a successful forex trader, I still look back with 20/20 hindsight and realize that I could have been more successful, sooner, if I had been a more educated trader. That's why I'm so excited about what we have to offer at INO TV: proven trading techniques - practical tools for consistent success - step by step trading methods that will empower you to build wealth and create the life you want. And all straight from the lips of the masters themselves. If you do nothing else today,visit INO TV and find out if the service is right for you:

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Adam Hewison, president of Ino.com

Friday, June 6, 2008

4 HotLinks for the Weekend



Traders Whiteboard #8... the 5 Keys you need

Learn from Linda Raschke

Jim Jubak's take on solars. He likes FSLR, STP and SPWR.

buy this stock

Thursday, June 5, 2008

BIDU serving another bull platter!

BIDU closed @ 361.8

Today's rally was great, and with the market momentum this strong on the close you gotta give it benefit of the doubt that it's gonna move higher tomorrow.

BIDU's chart look really good. I think it should see 380 tomorrow if the market stays in the green.

I am still keeping the $1000 price target and i think it will get there. They are now the undisputed search leader in China. Google can't touch them.

buy this stock

The #1 Account Killer: Emotion Click Here

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BIDU looks good to go higher


BIDU closed @ 344.5

Even after all the collapsing of the chinese stock market, BIDU now stands at just about 80 points below its all time high. It is gonna be a leader in the next bull run.

Short term, it looks to have some upside here. My target of $1000 still holds.


Marketclub now!

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Wednesday, June 4, 2008

What is MarketClub?


The MarketClub trading service is the culmination of over 15 years of software engineering and over 30 years of stock market trading analysis from two of the best known masterminds in the industry. David Maher, better known for his expertise in the development of trading and charting analysis software, and Adam Hewison, a well respected pioneer in the trading education industry are the two creators of MarketClub. Since its inception, the MarketClub trading service has made a huge impact on the trading industry by providing easy-to-learn and easy to use charting software that identifies entry and exit signals on high probability stocks from a list of more than 230,000 stock tickers that it monitors on a daily basis. The MarketClub charting software is packed with the same trading rules and trading system that have made Adam Hewison millions of dollars as a CME floor trader. In addition, the powerful charting software has the ability to scan the market to instantly provide trading candidate stocks that fit the trade-triangle criteria. The user can instantly obtain trade triangle stocks throughout the trading day and can also perform technical analysis on those candidates to come up with the entry points that have the highest success rate.

The MarketClub system is more than just a trading and analysis software. It is a full featured trading service that provides over 80 hours of trading education that the user can download any time of the day. Each video seminar is taught by leading experts in the commodities, futures, options, forex and securities trading arenas.

The yearly membership fee for MarketClub is $449. The membership allows the user unlimited access to data feeds, historical stock data, over 50 different MP3 seminars by the various trading experts, charting applets and the powerful "Trade Triangle" scanning tool. Ino is now offering 2 free bonus months of service if you sign up for the yearly membership. Click onto this coupon link for more details.

To complement the marketClub trading service, Ino.com has recently begun to offer the Ino TV service for $99 a year. It is a full featured trading seminar service that streams over 500 different trading seminar video titles directly to the user's desktop. The user can access the seminars 24X7 and can choose over 500 titles from 11 different channels that bring trading educational topics such as Charts & Analysis, Day Trading, Trading Psychology, Trading Systems, Money Management, Options trading and much more. The Ino.com TV service is taught by industry experts like Larry Williams, Walt Bressert, Larry McMillan, John Bollinger, Chuck LeBeau, Ted Tesser and Barbara Rockefeller....just to name a few. Many users have only very nice things to say about Ino TV.

DETAILS OF MARKETCLUB:
--------------------------------------

The INO MarketClub is a set of trading tools consisting of the following features:

1. Institutional trade tracking software (i.e. Giant Footprints),

2. Advanced stock charting and analysis software, advanced stock trend analysis tool (i.e. SmartScan), and a

3. Complete portfolio of online trading workshops.

In addition, the MarketClub service is supported by daily, weekly and monthly emails to enable the active trader an easy access to the most up-to-date trading information and valuable trading advisory.

The MarketClub system provides the tools, technology, and information needed to succeed as a trader or an investor. It also provides the tools for diversification and money management, two key elements of managing risk. The MarketClub service can be beneficial for the following types of traders:

1. The short-term swing trader who trades using the daily charts. This type of trader is usually in the market for a few days or possibly a few weeks, depending on the strength or weakness of the market.

2. The intermediate-term trader who trades using the weekly charts. This type of trader is usually in the market for weeks and in some cases months at a time.

3. The long-term position trading investor who trades using the monthly data and charts. This type of investor is usually in the market for months and in some cases years at a time, looking for long term major moves in the market.

MarketClub contains the following features:

* The Smart Scan technology allows the trader to find uptrends and downtrends, long-term trends, and "insider" buying and selling. With the Smart Scan technology, a trader is able to spot big moves as soon as the pros do. Smart Scan is the only online scan technology that provides instant technical analysis and allows the trader to scan for opportunities in stocks, futures, foreign exchange, and soon, precious metals. The trader chooses the type of scans to perform, based on the trader's own personal trading style.

* The Chart Portfolio section enables the trader to chart analyze over 230,000 symbols with just a click of a mouse. MarketClub's Chart Portfolio is a valuable feature because it allows the trader can personalize his/her portfolio for the symbols and markets that he is following. The trader can chart analyze over 230,000 symbols, creating bar, candlestick, and line charts (weekly, monthly, and quarterly) with just a click of a mouse. Thirteen studies can be applied- many of which are recognized as key technical elements in determining price movement. Studies include Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, Parabolis SAR, MACD, RSI, Stochastic, and more. The proprietary charting applet enables the user to browse the data in almost any format.

* At Data Central, the investor can download as much data as desired for over 230,000 symbols. Data can be downloaded starting at one-minute increments, and go all the way up to daily data. MarketClub is the only place on the web today that allows the investor to download data in ASCII format on stocks, futures, precious metals and foreign exchange. If a trader that has a personal special spreadsheet or charting program, all of the data can be downloaded to be processed on the personal programs.

* The Trade School on the web is among the fastest and easiest way to learn new trading techniques. Trade School allows the trader to create a personal and custom trading conference by downloading files to his own computer. The trader receives unlimited access to professional workshops, and can choose the exact mix of workshops and speakers that he wants to hear. Currently, there are over 80 hours of speakers' workshops that cover stocks, futures, options, foreign exchange, indices, day trading, money management, and psychology. The investor also receives free downloads of the workbooks that accompany every workshop. More workshops are continually being added, so the investor can keep on learning!

MarketClub is a very comprehensive service. Ino is offering 2 free bonus months of service if you sign up for the yearly membership. Click onto this coupon link for more details.


(**To those who recently already joined Marketclub without the coupon...if you already signed up for the full year, please call them up or email brad@ino.com and mention that you saw the coupon code for 2 free bonus months at Beanieville and would like them to apply that to your account.)

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Short BWEN for a trade

BWEN closed @ 28.6

This amazing wind (penny)stock had gone up about 250% within two months time. It is now very overbought. The company is currently unprofitable, but growing like the incredible hulk at 1,500% over previous year.

The technicals show an extreme overbought condition. This stock needs to consolidate and i think it will be very soon, as soon as tomorrow if the stock gets in the red.

This is for a day or swing trade. If you don't know your stoplosses, don't bother trading this stock. If it trades above 29, you're better off not shorting it.

Cramer pumped BWEN as a speculative pure wind towers play yesterday, claiming that it could become a 'gigantic, gigantic company'. With the growth this fast, I think he could be onto something longer term.

buy this stock

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Monday, June 2, 2008

DNA headed to 80?

DNA closed @ 73.9

The biotechs took off once again today. DNA knocked out both the 50dayMA and 200dayMA (at 73.6). As long as the new support holds, DNA is headed to 80. I know, that's not alot of upside for this giant stock. This is a more conservative play than we're accustomed to.

buy this stock

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